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HomeMy WebLinkAboutCape Cod Chamber of Commerce Expert PresentationThe Cape Cod Economy 229,000 Year -round Residents MACAPECOD UNITED STATES M EDI A N A GE 55.7 40.3 39.0 34% of the population is 65 years or older compared to 18%statewide 3.3%3.4%3.8% 5.8% 7.3% 14.2% 1970 20201980199020002010 P E R CE N T OF P OP U L A T I ON N OT I D E N TI F Y I N G A S W H I TE 6%increase from 2010 to 2020 13% D EC R EA S E I N P U B LIC S CH O O L E NR OL L M E NT F RO M 2 0 1 3 -1 4 TO 2 0 2 3 -24 FE D E R AL L Y R E C OG NI Z E D M A S HPE E WAMPANOAG T RI BE Data Sources:Decennial Censuses,2022 American Community Survey 1-year Estimates Table DP05,Massachusetts Department of Elementary and Secondary Education T H E C A P E C O D C O N T E X T People OVE R 500MILES OF COASTLINE 86% of Cape Cod is already protected or developed 80% of homes are detached single -family homes 36% of homes are used seasonally compared to 4%statewide 8DESIGNATED CUL T U R AL DI ST R I CT S Mor e t h a n 27,000 A CR E S IN C AP E C OD N AT I ON AL S E A S HO R E Data Sources:Cape Cod Commission analysis of assessors’data,2018 Regional Policy Plan,2022 American Community Survey 5-year Estimates Tables B25001 and B25001,Mass Cultural Council T H E C A P E C O D C O N T E X T Places T H E C A P E C O D C O N T E X T Economy Over 5 Million Visitors AnnuallyJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDec On average,employment in the region increases by over 33% between the winter and summer months 84,000 112,000 CAPE COD MA L A BO R F O RC E PAR T I C I PAT I O N R AT E 59%67% M E D IA N A NNU A L E A R NI NGS 19% 19% 17% 9% 6% Health Care & Social Assistance Retail Trade Accommodation & Food Services Construction Professional & Technical Services TO P I N D U S TR I ES B Y EM P L O Y M EN T CAPE COD $48,462 $53,828 $41,623 MA $52,528 $61,410 $44,843 TOTAL MALE FEMALE Data Sources:5-year Average of Massachusetts Department of Economic Research ES-202 Data (not seasonally adjusted)for 2017,2018,2019,2021,2022;Cape Cod Commission Analysis;2022 American Community Survey 1-year Estimates Tables DP03 and S2001;UMDI analysis of 2022 Seasonally Adjusted ES-202 Data Environmental quality Outdoor recreational opportunities Access to the coast What Draws People To Cape Cod? Key regional challenges like Climate Change,Housing,Water Quality,and Infrastructure are all economic issues. Rising Temperatures C L I M A T E C H A N G E Climate change impacts every aspect of Cape Cod’s natural, built,and community systems 3x The Northwest Atlantic waters are warming at 3 times the global average rate •3.5°F •Increase in average temperature since 1900 in MA •4.6 -8.2 °F •Projected average annual temperature •increase by 2100 for Barnstable County Data Sources: NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information Sate Climate Summaries 2022,Cape Cod Climate Action Plan 19% O F T H E R E G I O N I S I N T H E F E M A S P E C I A L F L O O D H A Z A R D A R E A $16 BI LLI O N Total assessed value of property in the SFHA 3” O F S E A L E V E L R I S E I N B O S T O N S I N C E 2 0 0 0 Data Sources:S.A.Talke,“Relative Sea Level,Tides,and Extreme Water Levels in Boston Harbor From 1825 to 2018”;Cape Cod Commission Analysis C L I M A T E C H A N G E Rising Seas Expected Losses,Low Lying Roads C L I M A T E C H A N G E $50 B I L L I O N Damage and losses due to sea level rise and storm surge could exceed $50 billion through 2100 200 miles Inundated Roads 700 miles Isolated Roads Impacts to roadways By 2100,sea level rise is expected to inundate approximately 200 miles of road and isolate another 700 miles of road. $9.7B $8.6B $14.5B $15.3B ROAD DAMAGED $1.5B TAX REVENUE LOST BEACH TOURISM REDUCED LAND VALUE DECREASED BUILDING DAMAGE Data Sources:Economic Impacts of Climate Change on Cape Cod,Eastern Research Group,Inc.,and Synapse Energy Economics,Inc. $730,000 $449,000 2,090 400 JUNE 2023JUNE2019JUNE2020 Median Sales Price for a Single -Family Home JUNE 2021 JUNE 2022 Inventory of Single -Family Homes for Sale Data Source:Cape Cod and Islands Association of Realtors H O U S I N G Rising Prices,Declining Inventory Median sales price and inventory of single -family homes H O U S I N G Housing Costs are Too High R EN TER Median Household Income (2022) OV ER A LL Median Household Income (2022) $210,000Estimatedannualhouseholdincomeneededto affordably buy a median priced single -family home $90,500 $46,300 RE Q UIRE D Household Income Data Sources:2022 Cape Cod Regional Housing Needs Assessment;2022 American Community Survey 5-year Estimates Table S2503 Wages Aren’t Keeping Up H O U S I N G JUNE 2020JUNE2019 housing prices increased by 64% but average weekly wages only increased by 24% $930 $427,000 $1,075 $447,500 Median sales prices for single -family homes on Cape Cod increased at nearly 3 times the rate of average weekly wages between 2019 and 2023,widening the gap between income and housing costs. $603,000 $1,061 $690,000 $1,109 $700,500 $1,153 JUNE 2021 JUNE 2022 JUNE 2023 Data Sources:Cape Cod and Islands Association of Realtors, median sales price is for June YTD for single family home;Massachusetts Department of Economic Research ES-202 Data Average Wages for Q2 H O U S I N G Housing Supply is Insufficient Estimated housing demand is projected to outpace supply by 11,000 to nearly 22,000 housing units by 2035 of the region is zoned to allow housing developments with more than two units to be built by-right ONLY 2% for average short - term rents to exceed average year -round rents It takes 2 MONTHS Y E A R There were more than17,800 registered short -term rentals in Barnstable County in 2023 “A less than a 1% vacancy rate for rentals,when 7%is considered healthy.” –Housing Assistance Corporation Data Sources:Massachusetts Department of Revenue Registered Short -term Rentals,2023;Housing Assistance Corporation;2022 Cape Cod Regional Housing Needs Assessment;Cape Cod Zoning for Housing Assessment,Utile and Outwith Studio for the Cape Cod Commission,2023 The Blue Economy The history of Cape Cod’s economy relates directly to the surrounding bodies of water and the marine life therein. Today, marine research and preservation organizations based in the region are globally recognized for their contributions to science and technology. Further highlighting the region’s dependency on surrounding waterways, Cape Cod’s most utilized mass-transit are ferries. To support and draw attention to our region’s strong relationship with water, the Cape Cod Chamber of Commerce established the Cape Cod Blue Economy Foundation in 2017. The mission of the Cape Cod Blue Economy Foundation is to grow the region’s economy in a sustainable and balanced way, focusing on protecting and promoting our water and coastal resources. Recognizing that the Cape Cod region’s environment is its economy, the Blue Economy balances our economic and environmental health, creates a new regional identity focused on pride in our water and coastal resources, and supports a sustainable year-around economy for its residents. The Tourism Economy